The residential sales market continues to be challenging, according to the latest UK Residential Survey by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), with demand, sales, instructions, and prices remaining in negative territory.
At a national level, new buyer enquiries recorded a net balance of -39% in September, which although weak, is marginally less negative than the previous month’s reading of -46%.
The a listings headline net balance was -17% in September (compared to -26% in August). Agreed sales remain firmly negative, with a national net balance of -37%, but this reading is less downcast than readings of -46% and -45% seen in August and July respectively.
Looking at twelve-month sales expectations, the outlook is more positive, with a net balance of +3% (up from -5% last time) signalling a much more stable trend in sales volumes emerging over the year ahead
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Over the last two years, average rental prices have continued to rise and there have been more people looking to rent homes than there have been properties available.
According to Rightmove, the number of tenants looking to move now, compared to 2019, has increased by more than 40%, while the number of available homes to rent has dropped by 35%. Because of this mismatch, letting agents are receiving an average of 25 enquiries from prospective tenants for every home available to rent. This has risen from eight enquiries per property in 2019 and is five more than in May of this year.
Rightmove’s Tim Bannister commented, “The number of new rental properties coming to the market is now at its highest level since the end of last year. While it is likely that there is some way to go before this filters through to rental prices, if the improving trend between supply and demand continues, we could start to see the pace of yearly rent rises slow more significantly than it has been.”
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Consumers are taking out longer mortgages to cope with higher interest rates and living costs, potentially storing up debt troubles in future, the Bank of England (BoE) has said.
According to the central bank’s Financial Policy Committee (FPC), the proportion of mortgages lasting 35 years or more has increased from 4% in the first three months of the year to 12% in the second quarter. The FPC said that longer mortgages account for a small share of total mortgages and ‘Such lending will be bound by Financial Conduct Authority responsible lending rules requiring lenders to take account of future changes to income and expenditure, such as the borrower retiring, where that is expected to happen during the mortgage term.’
The UK has a relatively short-term mortgage market compared with some countries, including USA, where the average mortgage term is 23.3 years.
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HOUSE PRICE INDEX (JULY 2023) | 152.6 |
AVERAGE HOUSE PRICE | £291,000 |
MONTHLY CHANGE | 0.3% |
ANNUAL CHANGE | 0.2% |
*(Jan 2015 = 100)
| REGION | Monthly Change (%) | Annual Change (%) | Average Price (£) |
| ENGLAND | 0.2% | 0.0% | £310,000 |
| NORTHERN IRELAND (QUARTER 2 – 2023) | 1.4% | 2.7% | £174,000 |
| SCOTLAND | 1.2% | 1.1% | £194,000 |
| WALES | -0.1% | -0.1% | £217,000 |
| EAST MIDLANDS | 0.6% | 0.5% | £251,000 |
| EAST OF ENGLAND | -0.7% | -1.6% | £351,000 |
| LONDON | -0.1% | -1.4% | £536,000 |
| NORTH EAST | 1.3% | 3.6% | £165,000 |
| NORTH WEST | 0.0% | 0.4% | £216,000 |
| SOUTH EAST | -0.1% | -0.6% | £393,000 |
| SOUTH WEST | 1.2% | -1.1% | £328,000 |
| WEST MIDLANDS REGION | 0.5% | 1.1% | £254,000 |
| YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER | 0.4% | 2.2% | £213,000 |
| Property Type | Annual Increase |
| Detached £458,000 | 0.8% |
| semi-Detached £283,000 | 0.9% |
| Terraced £237,000 | -0.9% |
| Flat/Maisonette £233,000 | -0.2% |
Source: The Land Registry Release date: 18/10/23
“Activity levels continue to look subdued compared to recent years, with industry data showing lower levels of new instructions to sell homes and agreed sales. Borrowing costs are the primary factor, given the impact of higher interest rates on mortgage affordability. Against this backdrop, homeowners inevitably become more realistic about their target selling price, reflecting what has increasingly become a buyer’s market.”
Kim Kinnaird, Director, Halifax Mortgages
Source: Halifax, October 2023
Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2023.
This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
All details are correct at the time of writing (19 October 2023)